Research Briefing
Although it has benefited from a rapidly growing tech sector, Denver’s net job growth since the start of the pandemic...
Research Briefing
Although it has benefited from a rapidly growing tech sector, Denver’s net job growth since the start of the pandemic...
Research Briefing
Although it has recovered its lost film jobs and then some, Los Angeles shows a net decline of 0.8% since...
Research Briefing
Houston’s GDP is forecast to have declined 0.1% so far in 2022, with declining petrol and coal product manufacturing in...
Research Briefing
Still topping the charts on nearly every economic metric, Austin’s economy remains on fire. Its net growth since the start...
Research Briefing
Strong annual GDP growth figures for most major European cities do not tell the whole story in 2022 as the...
Research Briefing
The 50 largest metros will narrowly avoid a recession in 2022 but half will not escape one in 2023. In...
Research Briefing
The impact of the lockdowns and Covid-19-related restrictions in China were severe in the second quarter of 2022. We have...
Research Briefing
While US policy rates will rise further in the near-term, the long-run neutral rate – the interest rate consistent with...
Research Briefing
We expect Canada to enter a recession in Q4 2022 and as a result, most metros including Toronto, Montreal, and...
Research Briefing
We do not expect a long-lasting rebound in sterling (or gilts) anytime soon, given the lack of a credible fiscal...
Research Briefing
The negative market reaction to last week's fiscal announcements appears to be a function of doubts over the credibility of...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
Research Briefing
The UK government's energy price guarantee will mean a much lower peak for inflation, reducing the damage to household incomes....
Research Briefing
South Africa faces a serious risk of being 'grey listed' by the international Financial Action Task Force (FATF), which will...
Research Briefing
Recession risks are mounting globally, including in the eurozone. Growing recession fears have resulted in large drops in oil prices...
Research Briefing
Salt Lake City’s low costs and outdoor amenities have attracted in-migration, spurring robust population over the last few years. The...
Research Briefing
“Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, limiting global warming to 1.5°C [in line with the Paris Agreement]...
Research Briefing
The approaching French legislative elections are defined by serious political risks. Our baseline sees Macron's presidential coalition winning the majority...
Research Briefing
The big concern about inflation is no longer the level at which it will peak, but where it will settle...
Research Briefing
We expect monetary policy to continue to diverge across Asia Pacific in 2022, with central banks in the advanced APAC...