Research Briefing
Canada's early-season wildfires have caused massive destruction and dislocation in their paths – we estimate they have already reduced GDP...
Economic Forecast
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Research Briefing
Monetary policy is at a critical juncture. After decades of low and stable inflation, the seismic supply adverse shocks and...
Video
The Bank of England is arguably the central bank that faces the biggest policy headache right now. In this week's...
This week we turn our attention to Brazil. Latin America's strongest economy just reported stronger than expected growth in Q1,...
Video
The US debt ceiling continues to make headlines, and the drop dead date is fast approaching. Hear the latest from...
Research Briefing
A cautious 2023 budget amid the need to stabilize government finances post pandemic means that fiscal policy won't be able...
Research Briefing
The IMF's calendar-year forecast for global GDP growth in 2023 to slow only marginally amounts to an assessment that the...
Research Briefing
Major shocks over the past two years have prompted US manufacturing firms to rethink their supply chains, with greater inventory...
Research Briefing
Financial conditions have deteriorated across ASEAN-5 economies to varying degrees. As well as monetary tightening, a broad depreciation of currencies...
Research Briefing
While China's sooner-than-expected reopening has led some to pencil in a more robust rebound in 2023, we are more cautious.
Research Briefing
The Czech National Bank (CNB) kept the policy rate unchanged at 7% for the fourth consecutive meeting today, in line...
Quantifying the economic impact of climate change becomes crucial, particularly in a rapidly warming planet.
Research Briefing
Tightening US financial conditions over the past year will likely trim 0.2ppts from Q4 2022 GDP growth.
Research Briefing
We have cut our US industrial outlook to reflect rising interest rates and economic uncertainty.
Research Briefing
Swings in oil prices pack less of an economic punch than in the past but sudden increases can still be...
Research Briefing
Following a hard winter, we expect the Nordic economies to rebound from mid-2023 as falling inflation turns real incomes positive,...
Research Briefing
In most UK regions and nations, inactivity levels have risen since the beginning of the pandemic, and an increasing number...
Research Briefing
The MPC and OBR both judge that UK potential GDP has fallen outright since Q4 2019 and will register only...
Research Briefing
Pioneering research has used panel econometric techniques to estimate the economic impact of average temperatures. Building on that approach, we...
Research Briefing
It's been a horrible period for EM portfolio debt flows. The better news is that broader capital flows to EMs...
