Research Briefing
Our estimates suggest that the surge in aggregate bank profitability may continue in the near term, but the outlook remains...
Credit risk
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Research Briefing
The sharp fall in our US business cycle indicator in February signalled the economy lost momentum midway through Q1.
Research Briefing
Though our baseline forecast this year is a shallow global recession in the first half of the year the uncertainty...
Looking into 2023, developers and investors have to assess conflicting pressures to construction costs, rising interest rates, and falling capital...
Research Briefing
Debt costs continue to soar across advanced economies, threatening to push commercial real estate markets into distress. We believe that...
BoE governor Andrew Bailey's insistence that emergency support will end on Friday is an unsustainable position that we expect to...
Research Briefing
The question of debt restructuring is becoming a more pressing one: in recent weeks, a number of African sovereigns have...
Oxford Economics launches our Global Risk Service, a suite of data-driven and forward-looking tools that measure macro-economic and financial crises...
Research Briefing
We are concerned about the prospect of distressed sovereigns dragging down their domestic banking systems. We identify an extraordinarily high...
Ten years on from the global financial crisis, and eyes are peeled for triggers for a new world economic upheaval. ...
