Research Briefing
There are four ways Treasury can avoid a near-term default on any of its obligations: Democrats and Republicans reach a...
Research Briefing
There are four ways Treasury can avoid a near-term default on any of its obligations: Democrats and Republicans reach a...
Research Briefing
The sharp fall in our US business cycle indicator in February signalled the economy lost momentum midway through Q1.
Research Briefing
Shortages have supported a wave of inventory rebuilding in the US this past year. But with inventories now above normal...
Research Briefing
Since the pandemic, our view of the medium-term outlook has shifted to become more pessimistic on inflation and equity market...
Research Briefing
Despite an upside growth surprise for Q3, we still expect the eurozone to fall into a widespread recession. Not all...