Using sectoral production data from Oxford’s Global Industry Service, we have been able to quantify which countries and sectors have...
ASEAN
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Research Briefing
A tiered-tariff system effectively blurs the distinctions between goods made in China and those rerouted via regional supply chains, weakening...
Research Briefing
The 'liberation day' tariffs have been postponed, but the existing tariffs and those likely forthcoming present significant downside risks for...
Research Briefing
The 'Liberation Day' tariffs announced by US President Trump have been postponed. But they will have significant consequences for ASEAN...
Research Briefing
The new US tariffs add an additional layer of drag on Asian manufacturing activities. India will be one of the...
Research Briefing
We think the immediate tariffs on China will have spillovers to some other Asian economies, while the threat of reciprocal...
Research Briefing
The rise of AI promises vast business opportunities and growth potential for the semiconductor industry. But these benefits are not evenly distributed along the value chain, so for ASEAN economies, where semiconductor activities are focused on lower value-added...
Consulting Report
This report highlights the vulnerability of food production cost in ASEAN given the impending physical and transition risks of climate...
Research Briefing
Reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 would likely have a larger impact on economic activity initially in ASEAN5 countries...
Research Briefing
With the US Fed expected to remain on hold for a prolonged period, rate decisions in Asia are likely to...
Research Briefing
Vietnam's GDP grew by an average rate of 7% annually in the past three decades, surpassing all its ASEAN regional...
Research Briefing
Idiosyncrasies in recent Asian trade data suggest that country-specific factors are becoming more influential and causing some countries' exports to buck cyclical trends. If that continues, the fortunes...
Research Briefing
Currencies of large Asian commodity exporters (AUD, NZD, MYR) have substantially outperformed those of importers (INR, KRW, THB).
Research Briefing
We expect monetary policy to continue to diverge across Asia Pacific in 2022, with central banks in the advanced APAC...
Research Briefing
India's 2030 commitments include a hefty reduction in projected emissions and 50% clean electricity generation, setting the bar high.
Research Briefing
In Asia, the upturn in production should help ease global supply-chain bottlenecks heading into 2022.
Research Briefing
We concur with the central bank’s (BSP) view that the current rise in inflation in the Philippines is for the...
Research Briefing
Real GDP for ASEAN-6 economies1 grew 1.7% y/y in Q3, down from 9.3% in Q2, reflecting both a less favourable...
Research Briefing
Most APAC economies are shifting towards living with Covid, but the easing of restrictions can be expected to vary across...
Research Briefing
The government has announced a record spending plan in the 2022 Budget to spur the post pandemic recovery. Measures include...