Research Briefing
South Korea’s economy continues to recover despite the surge in Covid cases due to the Delta variant, and should enter...
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Research Briefing
In a surprise move, the Monetary Authority of Singapore today tightened monetary policy by slightly raising the slope of the...
Research Briefing
We believe prospects for FDI inflows into APAC over the medium term remain strong, even though pandemic-driven supply disruptions and...
Research Briefing
Across APAC, many cities have similar stories to tell—of 2021 economic growth being frustrated by the reimposition of lockdowns, and...
Policy inaction has left Australia a laggard among advanced economies in adopting lower net-emissions targets. But domestic climate policy could...
Research Briefing
We still think India’s recovery will be subdued in H2 2021, despite a significant pick-up in vaccinations from August. The...
Research Briefing
Private bank credit contracted 2.7% in 2020 in Indonesia and continued to decline on a year-on-year basis through most of...
Research Briefing
Asia’s economic performance over the next six to nine months will continue to be hugely influenced by developments in the...
Research Briefing
Notwithstanding Covid-related risks, we expect Asian currencies will show resilience in the face of tighter US monetary policy, particularly when...
Research Briefing
Indian households have hoarded savings through the Covid crisis, although to a lesser extent than the rest of the world....
Research Briefing
The role of the RMB is greatest where China is a major destination for manufacturing exports, suggesting that the degree...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged at today’s meeting, maintaining short-term and long-term interest rates at current levels....
Research Briefing
The latest survey of Japan’s households shows the stark failure of Abenomics to boost household wealth through asset price growth....
Research Briefing
Our ASEAN-6 growth tracker, which includes Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Vietnam, points to a weak start to...
Research Briefing
South Korea’s trade has remained resilient despite rising global Covid cases, with export and import momentum gaining further traction. We...
Domestic travel is the key factor that will support the near-term tourism recovery in Asia-Pacific (APAC). While international travel in...
Research Briefing
We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium...
The construction sector did not escape the coronavirus-induced economic downdraft unscathed. Activity at the global scale fell 1.4% in 2020,...
Research Briefing
Following record declines in 2020, we forecast strong 6.1% pa APAC GDP growth over the next two years. Nonetheless, the...
Research Briefing
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has played a key role in leading India’s pandemic policy response. While elevated inflation...
