Research Briefing | Nov 26, 2021

Global | Real estate is not a hedge for this type of inflation

Real estate is not a hedge for this type of inflation

The received wisdom that real estate is a good inflation hedge is an oversimplification. This is revealed by our two plausible high inflation scenarios for the year ahead utilising the recent integration of real estate markets into the Global Economic Model.

What you will learn:

  • Our baseline sees inflation as partly relative demand driven and so real estate returns are set to bounce back in 2022, as activity and employment are important short-term drivers.
  • Our analysis demonstrates that real estate is a good hedge against further demand driven inflation, but not against the cost push inflation that it is arguably the bigger threat today.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Eurozone: Little sign of harm from the Red Sea disruptions

The impact of Red Sea shipping disruption on the eurozone economy continues to be limited, in line with our baseline view. Our new Eurozone Supply Stress Indicator suggests that supply pressures have returned to normal following a period of easing in 2023.

Find Out More

Post

GCC: Key themes shaping city economies in the near term

For Gulf cities, the near-term outlook will be tied not only to the global macroeconomic backdrop, but also the progress of the diverse visions and strategies in the region. With the aim to diversify their economies and reduce the dependence on oil, Gulf states continue to invest in the non-oil economy and implement various reforms. That said, oil revenues remain key to funding diversification efforts.

Find Out More