Research Briefing | Dec 10, 2021

Japan’s FDI strategy is to diversify away from China

 Japan’s FDI strategy is to diversify away from China

Japan’s foreign direct investment (FDI) position nearly tripled over the past decade, even as domestic investment stagnated. Currently, 40% of FDI income comes from Asia, thanks to the high rate of return, especially in China.

What you will learn:

  • In the 2000s, Japanese firms invested in Asia as a low-cost producer. More recently, however, serving local demand has become the driving force behind investment in both manufacturing and service sectors.
  • While China remains the most popular destination due to promising returns and local demand, ASEAN 5 (Thailand and Vietnam, in particular) will continue to benefit from the diversifying of supply chains beyond China. Developed Asia (especially Singapore) will remain attractive as a regional hub for services.
  • In addition to growth prospects of local markets, Japan’s FDI allocation in Asia will feel the effects of the decoupling pressures stemming from the US-China confrontation. And with sustainability rising on companies’ agendas, emissions reduction in each economy will increasingly determine Japan’s FDI allocation.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Seoul, South Korea

Post

BoK’s monetary policy to tighten even as hiking cycle ends

Even without rate hikes, central banks' monetary policies can effectively tighten if the nominal neutral rate falls below the policy rate. We expect this will be the case for the Bank of Korea this year, as the gap between the policy rate and the nominal neutral rate widens.

Find Out More

Post

China: Emerging green shoots in Spring, but not out of the woods

We now incorporate a faster recovery from the post-Covid exit wave and raise our 2023 full-year GDP growth forecast to 4.5% (from 4.2% previously).

Find Out More