Global | Global Risk Survey: Recovery threatened by Delta surge
The Delta coronavirus variant poses the greatest risk to the global economy, according to our latest survey of risk perceptions. More respondents cite a new coronavirus wave as the top near-term downside than any risk since our first risk survey five years ago.
What you will learn:
- Businesses expect price pressures to fade over time. While respondents attach a high probability to more rapid world inflation in 2022 than in recent years, they perceive a less than 1-in-10 chance of a 5%+ annual rate over the medium term.
- The survey was completed by 160 businesses from July 12 to August 3. Results have informed the economic scenarios that we will publish in our Q3 Global Scenarios Service in late August.
- Our latest survey finds that the improvement in sentiment since the turn of the year has largely been sustained.
Tags:
Related Services
Post
Latin America Key Themes 2024 – Slower growth, but it’s not all bad news
Growth in most LatAm economies will be below consensus. Economic momentum has surprised to the upside through most of 2023, but the full effects of record global and domestic monetary tightening are yet to be seen.
Find Out More
Post
Easing financial conditions offer CRE some respite
Our measure of financial conditions has become less restrictive in the US and started to loosen in the eurozone and the UK, reflecting investors' expectations that interest rates have peaked. This should aid the outlook for commercial real estate (CRE) on the margins, although the scale of past rate hikes, sluggish economies, and structural headwinds mean the sector still confronts challenging fundamentals.
Find Out More