Global | Global Risk Survey: Recovery threatened by Delta surge
The Delta coronavirus variant poses the greatest risk to the global economy, according to our latest survey of risk perceptions. More respondents cite a new coronavirus wave as the top near-term downside than any risk since our first risk survey five years ago.
What you will learn:
- Businesses expect price pressures to fade over time. While respondents attach a high probability to more rapid world inflation in 2022 than in recent years, they perceive a less than 1-in-10 chance of a 5%+ annual rate over the medium term.
- The survey was completed by 160 businesses from July 12 to August 3. Results have informed the economic scenarios that we will publish in our Q3 Global Scenarios Service in late August.
- Our latest survey finds that the improvement in sentiment since the turn of the year has largely been sustained.
Tags:
Related Services

Post
Why tariffs won’t strangle Eurozone consumer spending
We think the damage from US tariffs on Eurozone consumer spending will be relatively mild. This is crucial for the Eurozone economic outlook, as the gradual rebound in private consumption is the only growth engine at present.
Find Out More
Post
Eurozone’s bund yields and the term premium to remain elevated
We expect 10-year bund yields to increase towards 2.8% by late 2026, as the term premium remains around 1.1% and the risk-neutral yield climbs above 1.7% over the next few quarters.
Find Out More