Research Briefing | Dec 16, 2021

Solid growth for Denmark expected despite emergence of Omicron variant

Ipad Frame - Denmark-Solid-growth-expected-despite-emergence-of-Omicron-variant

Downward revisions to Q2 and Q3 GDP figures and concerns about the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant have led us to lower our 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.1% from 3.3% previously.

What you will learn:

  • We see activity picking up from Q2 2022 under the expectation that supply chain issues will have begun to subside and the vaccine booster programme will have brought the pandemic back under control.
  • We don’t think Denmark will be as adversely affected as other European economies, but it could feel the pinch from softer external demand and consumer uncertainty.
  • Growth in 2021 is now forecast at 3.8%.

Back to Resource Hub

Related research

Post

Bank of Japan resumes rate normalisation, cautiously

The Bank of Japan raised the policy rate by 0.25ppts to 0.5% at Friday's meeting, as we expected. We maintain our call that the central bank will hike the rate again to 0.75%, most likely in July after the outcome of the Spring Wage Negotiation is confirmed, especially for small firms.

Find Out More

Post

Tariffs won’t cause a burst in producer prices in the Eurozone

Potential US tariffs would be disruptive for the eurozone economy as a whole, but we think their inflationary impact is likely to be contained. As US imports account for around 10% of total extra-EU imports, we estimate a 10% across-the-board tariff would only increase the producers prices index by 0.5%.

Find Out More