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There are four ways Treasury can avoid a near-term default on any of its obligations: Democrats and Republicans reach a compromise between the House-passed debt limit bill and Democrats’ demand for a clean debt limit hike; policymakers kick the can down the road with a short-term debt limit increase; a bipartisan coalition in the House uses a discharge petition to enact a scaled back debt limit bill; or Treasury effectively ignores the debt limit and continues to borrow to pay its obligations on time.

Introducing our Industry Climate Service to help clients quantify the impacts of climate change and associated mitigation policies on output and energy use trends across more than 100 sectors.