Research Briefing | Nov 19, 2021

Africa Country Insight: Ethiopia

Civil war in Ethiopia has put the country on a different developmental trajectory. International and regional stakeholders cautioned that Ethiopia is facing a “narrowing window” to find a diplomatic solution to the ongoing conflict, as territorial gains by the opposition coalition and military campaigns across multiple regional states now pose risks to regional stability.

What you will learn:

  • The TPLF may look to consolidate advances and possibly shift its focus to capturing transportation links between Addis Ababa and Djibouti.
  • Uncertainty surrounding the post-Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) fiscal outlook poses substantial downside risk to the invisibles position.
  • Set against a backdrop of a thin reserve buffer, eroding FDI appeal and collapse in grant support, the odds of a balance of payments event and credit default event have increased.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

UK: Supply constraints are probably less prominent in the south

The extent to which UK employers can respond to likely 2024 interest rate cuts with increased output, rather than rises in prices and wages, will partly reflect the extent of spare capacity. This will inevitably vary by region. Evidence on this is imperfect, but in terms of capital assets (including intangibles) and labour availability, southern regions appear to be in a stronger position than those in the UK's traditional industrial heartland.

Find Out More

Post

Global Private equity real estate fund maturities spur asset sales

We expect the significant increases in fund maturities, spurred by capital raised over the past decade, to exert upward pressure on the rate of asset disposals as the funds approach the end of their lifecycles.

Find Out More