Webinar

What if there were no more migration?

21 May 2026

3 sessions:

21 May 2026 – 10.00am BST (London)
21 May 2026 – 10.00am HKT (Hong Kong)
21 May 2026 – 12.00pm EST (New York)

online

What would zero migration mean for businesses and policymakers navigating an era of demographic pressure?

What if migration stopped? Migration is a key driver of our demographic trends, and in our new Megatrends Scenario we bring it into focus for the first time, stripping out all future flows in our baseline from 2026 onwards to quantify what migration means for growth, living standards, and fiscal stability.

The results are stark. Advanced economies see per capita incomes fall and fiscal positions deteriorate as shrinking tax bases meet rising age-related spending. Origin economies gain from a higher domestic labour supply, but these gains do not offset destination losses — the world as a whole is poorer.

Join us to explore why migration may be one of the most consequential economic policies over the coming decades.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Paul Moroz

Paul Moroz holds an undergraduate degree in Philosophy, Politics, and Economics (PPE) from the University of Oxford and an MSc in Economics from Birkbeck, University of London. Paul contributes to the Global Climate Service, the Global Scenarios Service, and bespoke client scenarios.

Senior Economist - Scenarios and Macro Modelling

Daniel Moseley

Dan is a Lead Economist in the Macro Modelling and Scenarios team, based in London. Since joining Oxford Economics in 2018, Dan has worked on a range of consulting projects, regulatory stress tests, bespoke scenario analysis and econometric modelling projects. Dan is responsible for the publication of our long-run macroeconomic scenario projections, the Megatrends Scenarios service.

Associate Director - Scenarios and Macro Modelling

Marco Santaniello

Marco Santaniello is an Economist in the Scenarios and Macro Modelling Division at Oxford Economics, based in London. He contributes to the development of long-term global scenarios and bespoke client projects using the Global Economic Model, as well as supporting the running of subscription services such as the Global Scenario Service (GSS). Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Marco worked as a Ratings Associate in the Sovereign Risk team at Moody’s Ratings. He holds a master’s degree in Economics from the University of Oxford and a bachelor’s degree in Political Economy from King’s College London.

Economist - Scenarios and Macro Modelling