Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has continued to deteriorate. Since our previous global scenarios were released three months ago, we have...
Explore our economic briefings, providing key insights into market trends and economic developments. Download the full reports for comprehensive data and detailed analysis to help you stay ahead in a changing economy.
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has continued to deteriorate. Since our previous global scenarios were released three months ago, we have...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the July ECB meeting, when the bank ended the period of the negative interest rates in the...
Research Briefing
The Norway mainland GDP forecast has been raised 0.5ppts to 3% following a slight growth surprise in Q2 and a...
Our modelling suggests incorporating owner-occupied housing costs would lower eurozone headline inflation from Q3 2022 by 0.3ppts, with negative contributions...
Research Briefing
Among large US metros, several southern ones are likely to out-perform over the 2022-26 period, including Dallas and Atlanta as...
Research Briefing
If successful, the Turkey-brokered deal between Russia and Ukraine to unblock Ukraine's ports and facilitate grain exports would be highly...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Sweden by 0.4ppts to 2.4%, as growth in Q2 surprised on...
Research Briefing
After the West and its allies imposed sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine, President Putin announced a radical rehaul of...
Research Briefing
A right-wing coalition government is expected to win in the upcoming Italian elections in September. Although "euroexit" is now very...
Research Briefing
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario...
Research Briefing
We expect Hong Kong's residential property prices to fall by about 4% y/y in Q4 2022, mainly due to the...
Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
In early August, Russia's Gazprom refused to accept a Siemens' turbine used in Nord Stream 1, citing technical issues. Gazprom...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
As European inflation reaches record levels, the impact varies across cities and regions. We estimate that most large European cities...
Research Briefing
The July Global Risk Survey was conducted at a time when central banks in major economies were sharply raising policy...
Research Briefing
Supply-chain conditions in the US offered encouraging signs to start Q3, according to our supply chain tracker. Inflationary pressures ebbed...
Research Briefing
As expected, the FOMC delivered its second consecutive 75bps rate hike, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate...
Research Briefing
We have cut our China growth forecast to 3.2% in 2022, from 4% previously, reflecting dismal Q2 growth and the...