Research Briefing
Current climate action pledges won’t contain global warming to well below 2°C in line with the Paris Agreement. If decisive...
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Research Briefing
Current climate action pledges won’t contain global warming to well below 2°C in line with the Paris Agreement. If decisive...
Research Briefing
The Canada Recovery Tracker (CRT) climbed 2.3ppts to 89.4 in the week ended May 14, its third consecutive rise. Six...
Research Briefing
After a weak Q1 for the global economy, our baseline forecast is for a strong growth rebound in Q2, and...
Research Briefing
Inflation in advanced economies is set to rise this year to the highest rate in a decade. This has sparked...
Domestic travel has provided a lifeline for the Travel & Tourism industry during the pandemic, filling at least some of...
Research Briefing
After being lauded for their successful containment of Covid-19 in 2020, the ASEAN-6 economies have experienced a surge in cases...
Research Briefing
World trade is staging an impressive recovery and so are ASEAN’s exports. We forecast exports will make a positive contribution...
Research Briefing
The South African government has been struggling to rein in the public sector wage bill in the past. This seems...
Research Briefing
The public sector wage bill is one of South Africa’s largest line items on the expenditure side, accounting for roughly...
Research Briefing
Though the budget deficit remains very high, monthly borrowing totals haveconsistently undershot the OBR’s forecasts. We expect this to continue...
Research Briefing
Over the past year, we have consistently predicted higher inflation stemming from base effects, stronger activity in the wake of...
Research Briefing
Academic work has established that a mature workforce (one in which the 40-49-year-old cohort is large) has a positive impact...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 0.4ppts to 92.1 in the week ended May 14, pointing to solid momentum ahead of...
Research Briefing
Our Latin America Recovery Tracker (LART) rose 0.5pts during the week ending May 21 – a considerable slowing after the...
Research Briefing
Saudi Arabia’s inflation rose to 5.3% y/y in April from 4.9% y/y in March, but we expect the rate to...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast sees a strong rebound in eurozone economic activity as vaccinations bring the pandemic under control, but this...
Research Briefing
The Canada Recovery Tracker (CRT) rose 1.4ppts to 87.4 in the week ended May 7 and is once again heading...
Research Briefing
A great uncertainty for the growth outlook is the extent to which households will spend the additional savings they’ve accumulated...
Research Briefing
Emerging Markets’ reputations for delivering on fiscal commitments has never been so important as it is now, given the need...
Research Briefing
We expect a mix of cyclical and structural factors will power above-trend productivity growth in the US in the post-Covid...