Research Briefing
Using our Global Industry Model, we have modelled the sectoral impacts of two scenarios in which former President Donald Trump returns to the...
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Research Briefing
Kenya has been facing a tumultuous month from an economic and political perspective, but our baseline scenario assumes that the...
The outcome of the presidential and congressional elections this November will be pivotal for the outlook in 2025 and beyond....
Research Briefing
The second round of the French snap elections resulted in a hung parliament, as we expected. Even though the Nouveau...
Research Briefing
Related Content UK Elections | Beyond the Headlines In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, join Andrew Goodwin, Chief UK Economist,...
Research Briefing
A second Trump presidency could have a moderate impact on European growth based on our simulation of his proposed policies....
The near-term outlook for US industry is expected to be relatively steady. However, the results of the upcoming election could...
African political economy is consistently evolving both at a national and continental level. Robust data analysis needs to be supplemented...
Research Briefing
We expect a continuity of AMLO's policies, but Sheinbaum's ability to pass constitutional reforms with a supermajority in Congress and...
Blog|30 May 2024 South Africa: Elections 2024 | Counting underway after calm voting day Louw Nel Senior Political Analyst The...
Research Briefing
Related Services Australia Macro Service Discover Australia’s economic outlook with our expert forecasts and analysis. Stay informed on key trends...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing summarises our four scenarios for the general election that will take place in South Africa on May...
African political economy is consistently evolving both at a national and continental level. Robust data analysis needs to be supplemented...
Research Briefing
This is the last of the four Research Briefings on scenarios for South Africa's general election on May 29. In...
African political economy is consistently evolving both at a national and continental level. Robust data analysis needs to be supplemented...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing details the third of our four scenarios for South Africa's general election on May 29. In this...
African political economy is consistently evolving both at a national and continental level. Robust data analysis needs to be supplemented...
Research Briefing
This briefing sets out the second of our four scenarios for South Africa's general election: the ANC wins only 40%...
African political economy is consistently evolving both at a national and continental level. Robust data analysis needs to be supplemented...
Research Briefing
Extensive academic research shows the importance of central bank independence in reducing inflation. Those institutions with strong operational independence from...
