Research Briefing
We expect this holiday shopping season to be the strongest in four years, but it will be disproportionately driven by...
Inflation
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 512 results
Research Briefing
A recent agreement to lower tariffs on Chinese imports by 10 percentage points has nudged the US effective tariff rate...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.5% at its October meeting, after a 7-2 majority vote....
EventIn Person
Despite heightened policy uncertainty global economic activity has remained resilient in 2025 and we expect that to continue in 2026...
Risks are swirling around the economy and this has caused the Federal Open Market Committee to become divided about the...
The winner of the Czech parliamentary election in October is all but certain to be the populist ANO, which has...
Blog
Economic Outlook Conference 2025 brought together business leaders and policymakers in Sydney & Melbourne where Oxford Economics Australia shared key...
We will explore the key economic drivers beyond GDP, including private consumption, inflation, earnings, and disposable income, among others, and...
Webinar Eurozone outlook: A clearer path ahead but don’t expect fireworks
Research Briefing
The reversal of tariff-related front-loading pressures continues to offer relief to our supply-chain stress index.
Webinar
The US consumer is a big source of uncertainty for 2026 corporate plans. Will inflation undermine purchasing power, driving significant...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.5% at its July meeting. We continue to think the BoJ...
Following years of underinvestment, pressure from the US and a new NATO spending target, European economies are gearing for a...
Research Briefing
Our scenario analysis reveals a partial shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran would push the Japanese economy into...
Research Briefing
We think the damage from US tariffs on Eurozone consumer spending will be relatively mild. This is crucial for the...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.5% and announced its exit plan from quantitative easing at Tuesday's...
Research Briefing
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act could boost GDP over the next two years, with new tariffs helping to steady...
Research Briefing
Fed officials remain cautious amid rising inflation and ongoing policy uncertainty. The latest FOMC meeting highlights the challenges facing the...
Research Briefing
Our proprietary Eurozone Supply Stress Indicator shows that supply stress is still low, even after the US tariff announcement on...
EventIn Person
Event 世界経済見通しとリスク：トランプ2.0が迫る経済パラダイムの転換 5th June 2025 – 3:30pm to 5:00pm 東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1 （株式会社国際協力銀行 9F講堂） 世界経済見通しとリスク：トランプ2.0が迫る経済パラダイムの転換 Global Outlook and Risks – How Trump 2.0...
