Research Briefing
Supply chain conditions remained highly strained in April, though cooling goods demand helped ease pressures modestly. Inflation stress increased for...
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
Research Briefing
Supply chain conditions remained highly strained in April, though cooling goods demand helped ease pressures modestly. Inflation stress increased for...
Research Briefing
Amid headwinds to the UK economy from high inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, loose financial conditions offer a bright spot. That...
Research Briefing
Higher international food prices will have a more aggressive impact on African CPI readings than those in advanced economies. This...
Research Briefing
Like in other major economies, we expect inflation in Japan to remain elevated in 2022 – we project Japan's inflation rate will hover around 2% y/y over the year.
Research Briefing
Growth risks for the eurozone economy are leaning to the downside, according to our analysis. Our business cycle indicator and...
Research Briefing
The EU has approved a joint proposal from Spain and Portugal to cap gas prices used in electricity generation. The...
Research Briefing
Amid a sharp depreciation of the yen, now at a 20-year low against the US dollar, financial markets have focused on the BoJ's possible adjustment to its...
Research Briefing
The Russia-Ukraine war is set to have serious implications for wheat supply and food stability in Africa. Despite efforts by...
Research Briefing
An array of data show that US and eurozone firms are currently experiencing particularly broad input cost shocks. Exceptional rises...
Research Briefing
Our analysis of property total returns and inflation suggest that the apartment sector is best positioned to weather the inflation...
Research Briefing
We think the positive correlation between bond and equity returns will last as long as positive inflation shocks are cost-push...
Research Briefing
UK households face a severe squeeze on their finances this year and have limited scope to cushion the blow by...
Research Briefing
Inflation is running at a brisk pace and is set to pick up further in the coming quarters; supply disruption...
Research Briefing
Food inflation in Asia ex-China has risen 2.7ppts to 4.5% since October 2021. We expect the uptrend to continue into...
Research Briefing
A strong performance from March's services and construction PMIs offered some indication that the economy carried a degree of momentum...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the March ECB meeting showed that inflation continued to dominate Governing Council's discussions. The body remains split,...
Research Briefing
An upward revision to the estimate for Q4 2021 took the quarterly UK GDP series to within a whisker of...
Research Briefing
Survey data this week offer a glimpse into the European economy's post-invasion reality. The Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) reading for...
Research Briefing
US businesses are experiencing the hottest inflationary environment in 40 years, and those with the strongest pricing power will ride...
Research Briefing
Inflation is running at a brisk pace and is set to pick up further in the coming quarters; supply disruption...