Research Briefing | Apr 14, 2022

UK real income squeeze set to plunge consumers into recession

UK households face a severe squeeze on their finances this year and have limited scope to cushion the blow by saving less. As a result, we expect the consumer sector to drop into recession in H2 2022, although a recovery in real incomes next year should allow spending to rebound strongly.

Download our report to learn:
  • When we expect the UK’s consumer sector to drop into recession
  • How steep we expect the fall in real disposable income to be
  • When we expect real income to recover
  • Whether household savings could help cushion the blow
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