Research Briefing
We will revise the forecast for federal employment significantly lower this year, and in subsequent years, because of the announced...
Research Briefing
We will revise the forecast for federal employment significantly lower this year, and in subsequent years, because of the announced...
Research Briefing
First-quarter GDP is tracking weakly at 1% annualized, but we think a lot of the swings in the data are...
Research Briefing
For many households, tax refunds represent the biggest cash-flow event of the year. It's early, but we think this will...
Research Briefing
We see little evidence that inflation will take a significant turn for the worse, which suggests that the risks of...
Research Briefing
The impact of AI is highly visible in some segments of the economy but barely seen in others, leaving the...
Research Briefing
The United States has introduced an additional 10% levy on Chinese imports as part of the opening round of the...
Tariffs act as a regressive tax on households as they are applied to imported goods, many of which fall into...
Consulting Report
This study, commissioned by Reckitt, assesses the economic footprint of Reckitt’s U.S. operations on the U.S. economy in 2023.
Research Briefing
The more aggressive ramp up in tariffs caused us to lower, but not slash, our forecast for real consumer spending...
Research Briefing
Related Posts Downside risks for Asian industrial real estate markets The ‘liberation day’ tariffs have been postponed, but the existing...
Research Briefing
Donald Trump's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement is a symbolic step back from global climate cooperation. However, we don't think...
Research Briefing
President Trump launched the first salvo in what will like turn into another global trade war. A 10% additional tariff...
Research Briefing
A blanket 25% tariff on Canadian imports to the US could have a significant impact on commodity prices, squeeze profit...
Research Briefing
US President Donald Trump's announcement of an additional 10% tariff on imports from China was in line with our baseline expectation. But the immediacy of implementation, the blanket style of tariffs, and the inclusion...
Tariff-induced price increases call into question tightly integrated supply chains across North America and make large swathes of exports less...
Research Briefing
The potential damage to large swathes of industry in Mexico and Canada from blanket US tariffs could be devastating and...
Research Briefing
President Trump initiated a global trade war by announcing across-the-board tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. This development came sooner...
Consulting Report
GoWest commissioned Oxford Economics an analysis of credit unions’ economic impact in Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming. The...
The major policy proposals planned for the second Trump administration will have mixed implications for the US economy in 2025...
Research Briefing
A number of recession warnings were flashing yellow and red last year, but the economy didn't falter and entered the...