Research Briefing
We still expect the Bank of England to cut Bank Rate by 25bps again in November, despite August's unexpectedly tight...
MPC
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Research Briefing
The Monetary Policy Committee voted to keep Bank Rate at 5.25% at May's meeting, but it also sent a clear...
Research Briefing
The Monetary Policy Committee voted to keep Bank Rate at 5.25% at November's meeting. The lack of significant news on...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
We expect the UK economy to be in recession for most of 2023, with activity dragged down by falling real...
Research Briefing
The MPC and OBR both judge that UK potential GDP has fallen outright since Q4 2019 and will register only...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.75% at yesterday's meeting, undershooting consensus and our...
Research Briefing
While most measures suggest a tight UK labour market, the pass-through to wage growth has been weak. We expect labour...
Research Briefing
The BoE raised Bank Rate by 75bps to 3% at its November meeting, in line with our expectations and market...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
Memories of the inflationary tsunami that hit the UK in the 1970s have been rekindled by inflation surging to a...
Research Briefing
The message sent by May's UK PMIs of an economy suffering a loss of momentum but still under strong inflationary...
Research Briefing
High inflation and a tight jobs market, muddied by signs of sagging momentum in the UK economy, present a complicated...
Research Briefing
Although GDP rose 0.8% in Q1, the monthly numbers showed that growth was concentrated entirely in the first month of...
Research Briefing
Amid headwinds to the UK economy from high inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, loose financial conditions offer a bright spot. That...
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Mar 21, 2022 MPC’s dovish hike starts to rein in market expectations Though...
Research Briefing
The last week has delivered little let-up in the energy price-driven supply shock to the UK economy triggered by Russia's...
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Mar 10, 2022 United Kingdom: While March rate hike remains on table, tone...
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Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Mar 3, 2022 United Kingdom’s housing market to cool after 2021 boom We...
