US tariffs and global trade tensions will slow growth across Latin America in 2026. Which countries will remain resilient despite...
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Research Briefing
France's fragile coalition government looks set to lose a confidence vote scheduled on September 8. Consequently, Prime Minister François Bayrou's...
Research Briefing
We still expect the Bank of England to cut Bank Rate by 25bps again in November, despite August's unexpectedly tight...
Research Briefing
The US economy has slowed and become bifurcated across consumers, the business environment and the labor market.
In a rapidly evolving global trade environment, businesses must stay ahead of changing tariffs and regulatory demands. Our latest blog...
Research Briefing
High-tech goods, pharma, and aerospace will be among the fastest growing segments over the next decade.
Research Briefing
A 30% tariff would send the Eurozone economy to the edge of recession, with growth stagnating over the coming quarters.
Research Briefing
Tariff policies, rising geopolitical tensions and unprecedented uncertainty are putting pressure on cities and regions across the world.
Research Briefing
Our Global Economic Model simulations suggest that a permanent 40ppt tariff hike on US imports from Brazil would have limited...
Research Briefing
A tiered-tariff system effectively blurs the distinctions between goods made in China and those rerouted via regional supply chains, weakening...
Research Briefing
The German finance ministry's draft budget for 2025 and updated medium-term fiscal plan show the government is embarking on a...
Research Briefing
For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate...
We are honoured to receive a total of 103 awards in this year’s FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards. Our team of...
Research Briefing
Our revamped modelling shows that a recession is not imminent for the Eurozone and the big four despite the extreme...
Research Briefing
Higher unemployment among recent US graduates is driven by structural shifts in tech hiring and AI displacement. Labor force participation...
New York, London, Paris, San Jose and Seattle are the top 5 cities in the world, as ranked by the...
Research Briefing
Most commodity price forecasts are cut due to tariffs except for gold and battery metals, which show resilience amid global...
Research Briefing
Trade tensions between the US and China have continued to ratchet-up over the last week. While the exemptions to technology...
Research Briefing
Given the unique nature of the hike in US tariffs, the size of these supply and demand shocks and the...
Research Briefing
There are no absolute winners in a trade war, but some will fare relatively better than others.
