Research Briefing
We expect Nordic GDP growth to outperform the Eurozone in 2026, driven by expansionary fiscal policy and higher consumer spending....
Research Briefing
We expect Nordic GDP growth to outperform the Eurozone in 2026, driven by expansionary fiscal policy and higher consumer spending....
We've brought forward the timing of the next Bank of Japan (BoJ) 25bps rate hike to December from next year...
Research Briefing
At its monetary policy meeting on Friday, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) unexpectedly announced it would start to sell its...
Research Briefing
Research Briefing High uncertainty means a cautious the Bank of Japan
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.5% at its July meeting. We continue to think the BoJ...
Research Briefing
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee has delivered 100bps of rate cuts since its easing cycle began in August...
Research Briefing
We estimate that the US's effective tariff rate on Japanese products is around 17%, in line with our baseline assumption....
Research Briefing
The ruling Liberal Democratic party (LDP) and its partner Komeito lost their majority in Japan's upper house elections on July...
Research Briefing
Our scenario analysis reveals a partial shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran would push the Japanese economy into...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.5% and announced its exit plan from quantitative easing at Tuesday's...
Research Briefing
Our sentiment data-based nowcast, developed with Penta, suggests UK employment growth has continued to slow in recent months.
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.5% at Thursday's meeting. Considering the significant downgrading of growth and...
Research Briefing
We've cut our GDP growth forecasts for Japan by 0.2ppts to 0.8% in 2025 and by 0.4ppts to 0.2% in...
Research Briefing
The 'Liberation Day' tariffs, together with separately announced higher tariffs on auto imports to the US, will lead us to...
Research Briefing
A series of problems have undermined confidence in the accuracy of official economic statistics for the UK. When using Office...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.50% at Wednesday's meeting, as expected. Despite a marginally higher...
Research Briefing
We have revised our CPI forecast upwards for this year and next, due to more persistent supply side-driven food inflation,...
Rising wage costs have been increasingly squeezing the already low profitability of small firms in Japan, thereby raising concerns about...
Research Briefing
A number of recession warnings were flashing yellow and red last year, but the economy didn't falter and entered the...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan raised the policy rate by 0.25ppts to 0.5% at Friday's meeting, as we expected. We maintain...