In this blog, we discuss the implications of the US–Venezuela conflict for both countries’ economies, as well as for global...
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Research Briefing
Even under our strong upside scenarios for oil and migrant return, Venezuela's GDP returns to just 50% below the 2013...
LatAm economies will lose momentum in 2026, but some will fare better.
Research Briefing
We remain concerned about the potential fallout in Latin America from a second Trump presidency in areas other than a...
Research Briefing
Sunday's presidential election presents limited upside scenarios for the Venezuelan economy. Our baseline is for President Nicolás Maduro to remain...
Research Briefing
Emerging market (EM) GDP growth will disappoint next year but EM central banks will reap the dividends of credible policies...
Research Briefing
Growth in most LatAm economies will be below consensus. Economic momentum has surprised to the upside through most of 2023,...
Research Briefing
We expect Latin America's six largest countries' combined GDP to expand 0.8% next year, down from our 1.8% forecast for...
Research Briefing
We forecast the Mexican peso will appreciate by 4.9% in 2023 to an average of 19.2/US$, up from 20.2/US$ last...
Research Briefing
In a tough global environment, we are below consensus on advanced economy growth and anticipate most will fall into recession...
Research Briefing
The outlook for Latin America changed dramatically after Russia's invasion of Ukraine last February.
