Research Briefing
Fears of a substantial escalation in the Middle East last week prompted the largest swing in the oil price in...
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The Northern Hemisphere is now heading into the 2024 fire season, having just had its hottest winter on record. If...
SEC climate disclosure rules require firms to disclose scope 1 and 2 emissions. How will these new SEC climate rules...
Our risk sentiment indicator is flashing red once again following the sharp end-of-year equity rally. In this week’s Beyond the...
Research Briefing
We think risk assets will underperform in 2024. We map out the implications of our key 2024 global macro themes...
Research Briefing
US equities dipped into correction territory last week and we see the risk of more downside in the near term, as valuations remain expensive...
Research Briefing
The divergence in yield curves across markets has been notable, with most experiencing significant upward shifts in the last two...
Research Briefing
We forecast the Mexican peso will appreciate by 4.9% in 2023 to an average of 19.2/US$, up from 20.2/US$ last...
Research Briefing
The 2023 outlook for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will not compare to this year's spectacular expansion. That said,...
Research Briefing
Gold prices have been under pressure since the beginning of 2022, as high US real rates increase the opportunity cost...
Research Briefing
The outlook for Latin America changed dramatically after Russia's invasion of Ukraine last February.
Research Briefing
The semiconductor cycle has already turned and is likely to continue softening into next year. As the world's largest producer...
Research Briefing
It's been a horrible period for EM portfolio debt flows. The better news is that broader capital flows to EMs...
Research Briefing
We expect real estate values to correct sharply in 2023, but pressure should gradually alleviate as policy rates peak.
Research Briefing
Policies aimed at managing China's housing slump have led investors to query the shape and depth of a market correction....
