The US’s new 10% import tariff is unlikely to cause major disruption for GCC countries. The region sends just 3%...
Inflation
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In response to the lira sell-off last week, initial estimates suggest that the central bank of Turkey spent $12bn to...
Turkish annual inflation continued its downtrend in February, easing to 39.1%, the lowest since mid-2023. The monthly increase in prices...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.50% at Wednesday's meeting, as expected. Despite a marginally higher...
Research Briefing
We have revised our CPI forecast upwards for this year and next, due to more persistent supply side-driven food inflation,...
Turkish annual inflation continued its downtrend in February, easing to 39.1%, the lowest since mid-2023. The monthly increase in prices...
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
Research Briefing
Tariffs typically result in a one-off rise in the level of prices.
Research Briefing
The resilience of consumption is essential to support sustained wage-driven inflation and the Bank of Japan's rate hikes. We see...
Turkish annual inflation continued its downtrend in February, easing to 39.1%, the lowest since mid-2023. The monthly increase in prices...
Research Briefing
We previously identified four core megatrends – demographics, technology, institutions, and globalisation – as the key drivers shaping the long-term outlook.
Oxford Economics set the stage for the year ahead, at our second Global Economic Outlook Conference, in London on Wednesday,...
In December 2024, Saudi Arabia's trade surplus narrowed to SAR 15.3 billion from SAR 34.8 billion due to higher imports...
Research Briefing
We see little evidence that inflation will take a significant turn for the worse, which suggests that the risks of...
Saudi Arabia’s fiscal deficit widened to 2.8% of GDP in 2024, broadly in line with our expectations. With both non-oil...
Research Briefing
We've lowered our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Australia by 0.1ppt to 1.9% due to a weaker outlook for near-term...
Dubai's GDP grew by 3.1% in the first nine months of 2024, driven by critical sectors such as transport, information...
Research Briefing
Our updated analysis shows that the risk of 'Japanification' – a lengthy period of low growth and low inflation or...
Research Briefing
President Trump launched the first salvo in what will like turn into another global trade war. A 10% additional tariff...
Saudi Arabia’s latest PMI signals the strongest non-oil economic growth since 2014, driven by robust domestic demand.