While the fundamentals for global industrial growth have remained relatively constant, downside risks have notably risen.
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Research Briefing
The chemicals and transport sectors are likely to be among the biggest losers from the Iran war, with Europe’s chemicals...
Research Briefing
Prospects appear solid for global industry in 2026, but activity is set to remain regionally and sectorally divergent.
Australia’s infrastructure landscape is shifting fast, driven by new investment trends, emerging asset classes and growing capacity constraints. This outlook...
Research Briefing
In 2026, we anticipate global industrial value-added output to grow just 1.9%, the slowest pace of growth since the global...
Research Briefing
China is unlikely to achieve full chip self-sufficiency any time soon because of high technological hurdles in producing advanced manufacturing...
Our modelling suggests the main beneficiaries of the spending will be a highly concentrated subset of capital-intensive subsectors, mainly in...
Tariffs spark uncertainty in the global industrial sector, raising recession risks. What’s next for businesses? Discover insights from Oxford Economics.
Executive Summary
In 2025, we are expecting a deceleration in global pumps demand to 1.0% as the global economy contends with new...
Research Briefing
For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate...
Research Briefing
The significant escalation in US tariffs since early April is set to generate a shallow recession in global industry, though...
Research Briefing
Electronics, electricals, motor vehicles, pharmaceuticals and machinery are most exposed globally to US-imposed tariffs.
Research Briefing
The sectors most exposed to mass deportations are construction, agriculture, parts of manufacturing and several service sectors.
Trump has moved swiftly to advance a trade agenda that goes beyond what was promised in the campaign. This will...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast now assumes that European defence spending will rise to 3% of GDP by the end of the...
Research Briefing
The impact of global tariffs, a high degree of policy uncertainty, and higher for longer interest rates are expected to...
Oxford Economics set the stage for the year ahead, at our second Global Economic Outlook Conference, in London on Wednesday,...
Research Briefing
The new US tariffs add an additional layer of drag on Asian manufacturing activities. India will be one of the...
Tariff-induced price increases call into question tightly integrated supply chains across North America and make large swathes of exports less...
Blog
New research from Oxford Economics, published today, predicts that quantum computing could give the UK an economy-wide productivity boost of...