Research Briefing
China's economy looks to have entered a marked downturn. Cyclical trends in China are always tricky to assess given the...
Research Briefing
China's economy looks to have entered a marked downturn. Cyclical trends in China are always tricky to assess given the...
Research Briefing
We still see the presidential election as a coin flip, but our updated scenarios suggest that upside risks to our...
Consulting Report
This report estimates the national economic contribution of the US nuclear power industry, the state-level contributions, and the local contribution...
Consulting Report
This report quantifies the economic impact that bp supported in both the UK national and regional economies in 2023.
Research Briefing
Hurricane Helene will affect the labor market, consumer spending, housing, corporate profits, and industrial production, but the implications for Q4...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for some form of divided government that will not alter the current trajectory of industrial growth. If either side achieves a...
Research Briefing
Lacklustre eurozone growth momentum looks unlikely to meaningfully pick up before the end of the year. Our GDP nowcasting models...
Research Briefing
A Kamala Harris presidency wouldn't materially alter the economic outlook for Canada. Another term for Donald Trump would usher in...
Research Briefing
The UK grew at an above-trend pace in H1 2024, but we don't expect this to be sustained over the...
Research Briefing
Four themes have dictated Asia's macroeconomic outlook over the summer and are likely to continue to exert an influence over...
Research Briefing
GDP growth among Latin America's largest six economies will improve on the margin next year and surprise the consensus to...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast assumes generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) will boost eurozone GDP level by 1.4% over the next 15 years,...
Research Briefing
The economy remains in transition and is settling into a more sustainable pace of growth, with next year being decent...
Research Briefing
We believe that recent jitters about US growth prospects are overdone. While US GDP growth will slow a bit, we...
Research Briefing
Vice President Kamala Harris has released the first part of her economic plan. In it, she proposes an expansion of...
Research Briefing
Metros with the fastest population growth are among those with the highest natural hazard risks. Using FEMA's National Risk Index,...
Research Briefing
We estimate that a 1ppt rise in US tariffs cuts imports from China by 2.5% in the long term.
Consulting Report
This report updates last years’ research on the detection and prevention of financial crime, and it’s cost to the UK...
Research Briefing
Our forecasts do not show any significant deindustrialisation over the next decades in Europe—in fact, we find predictions around imminent...
Research Briefing
Kenya has been facing a tumultuous month from an economic and political perspective, but our baseline scenario assumes that the...