Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.5% from 1.7% last month, as weakening confidence further...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.5% from 1.7% last month, as weakening confidence further...
Research Briefing
We have lowered Sweden's growth outlook for this year to 2.6% from 2.8% amid rising downside risks. The main headwind...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures continue to build, with input costs rising at a rapid pace. The economic landscape is also constantly shifting:...
Research Briefing
President-elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr faces a tricky balancing act between supporting the economic recovery and containing the Philippines' burgeoning fiscal...
Research Briefing
In 2022, cities see bigger variations in employment than GDP growth, but over the 2022-26 the reverse is true.
Research Briefing
While the economic fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine will likely be limited for the Nordic region, we have nonetheless...
Research Briefing
Growth risks for the eurozone economy are leaning to the downside, according to our analysis. Our business cycle indicator and...
Research Briefing
According to early estimates, Ukraine's GDP experienced a 40%-45% contraction in March in the wake of Russia's invasion. In our...
Research Briefing
Our 2022 Norway GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on...
Research Briefing
Two months after Russia's invasion, Ukraine is suffering huge humanitarian and economic losses. According to official estimates, Ukraine's economy contracted...
Research Briefing
An array of data show that US and eurozone firms are currently experiencing particularly broad input cost shocks. Exceptional rises...
Research Briefing
Deglobalisation is unlikely to be a "big bang" but more a creeping tide of targeted measures by individual countries, in...
Research Briefing
The Russian government is no longer able to make payments on its US-denominated external debt as the US Treasury has...
Research Briefing
Inflation is running at a brisk pace and is set to pick up further in the coming quarters; supply disruption...
Research Briefing
Globalisation has started to level off since its heyday prior to the global financial crisis. But while the Russia-Ukraine war...
Research Briefing
The fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and a brief but sharp hit from the Omicron outbreak have prompted us to...
Research Briefing
President Putin's threat to halt gas supplies from "unfriendly" states if they don't switch to roubles is not as important...
Research Briefing
Inflation is running at a brisk pace and is set to pick up further in the coming quarters; supply disruption...
Research Briefing
Russia's GDP is unlikely to return to pre-crisis levels until the early 2030s, according to our modelling. We expect Russia's...
Research Briefing
We have downgraded our GDP growth forecasts due to repercussions from Russia's war on Ukraine and, to a lesser extent,...