Research Briefing
The latest revamp of our foreign exchange risk tool (FXRT) demonstrates the enhanced predictive power of selected vulnerability metrics over...
Foreign exchange
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Research Briefing
Since the invasion of Ukraine in late February, hundreds of thousands of Russians have fled to neighbouring countries to avoid...
Research Briefing
We estimate the recent surge in swap rates – a key driver of mortgage rates – means that UK house...
Research Briefing
The pieces are almost in place for a high conviction OW on Asian local currency debt, but not quite. Indeed, we maintain a...
Research Briefing
The ground has shifted and cheap budget funding in frontier markets is a thing of the past. In the current...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked its policy rate by 75bps at yesterday's meeting, bringing it to 3.5%. Although...
Research Briefing
Turkey’s unpredictable macro policies could leave the treasury with a sizeable bill stemming from FX-protected lira deposits. The baseline for...
Research Briefing
There have been long, multi-year cycles in the US dollar over the last 50 years, often linked to divergent monetary...
Research Briefing
Asian currencies have broadly struggled in recent months due to the strengthening of the US dollar on the back of...
