Research Briefing
It's been a horrible period for EM portfolio debt flows. The better news is that broader capital flows to EMs...
Research Briefing
It's been a horrible period for EM portfolio debt flows. The better news is that broader capital flows to EMs...
Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent deterioration in the UK housing market, we think the doomsday scenario set out in the Bank of...
Research Briefing
South Africa's detailed JET IP unveiled at COP27 offers a model for other carbon-intensive developing countries to follow. Although the...
Research Briefing
The precipitous decline of the Yen to record fresh lows (and briefly above 150 last month) coupled with a dramatic...
Research Briefing
The BoE raised Bank Rate by 75bps to 3% at its November meeting, in line with our expectations and market...
Research Briefing
Qatar’s hosting of the Middle East's first ever World Cup is seen benefitting the wider GCC economy, and given the...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
Central banks around the world are raising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets, but financial conditions are not under enough...
Research Briefing
Anything but a 75bps hike of the ECB's key policy rates after next week's council meeting would be a big...
Research Briefing
Soaring debt costs across advanced economies threaten to push commercial real estate markets into distress. DM REITs are likely to...
Research Briefing
Egyptian authorities met with IMF staff on the sidelines of the IMF and the World Bank annual meetings held in...
Research Briefing
Debt costs continue to soar across advanced economies, threatening to push commercial real estate markets into distress. We believe that...
As spiralling energy prices threaten to cause huge pain for consumers and businesses, governments across Europe are rolling out initiatives...
Research Briefing
The September jobs data report and the August JOLTS offered some signs of a loosening in labor market conditions. Job...
Research Briefing
The pieces are almost in place for a high conviction OW on Asian local currency debt, but not quite. Indeed, we maintain a...
Research Briefing
The question of debt restructuring is becoming a more pressing one: in recent weeks, a number of African sovereigns have...
Research Briefing
Lula da Silva (PT) won the first round of the presidential election with 48% of the votes. He is favourite...
Research Briefing
Ecuador is no longer on track towards meeting the criteria imposed on it by the IMF to keep its US$6.4bn...
Research Briefing
After several days of huge UK financial market volatility, the BoE intervened at the long end of the gilt market...