Research Briefing
Our nowcast suggests October's headline and core PCE inflation will be at their fastest monthly pace in six months and...
CPI inflation
Filter content
Type
Topic
Region
Industry
Service
Tag
Region
Displaying 1 to 20 of 63 results
Research Briefing
We still anticipate a shallow economic downturn in Q2 and Q3 before a tepid recovery emerges later this year. Accordingly,...
Research Briefing
UK prime minister Rishi Sunak has announced that a general election will take place on July 4. While there are...
In this month’s Canada Up Close, Cassidy Rheaume, Associate Economist, discusses why we expect lower house prices and falling mortgage...
Research Briefing
Lower house prices and falling mortgage rates will reduce stubbornly high shelter inflation and help return headline CPI inflation to...
The 2024 federal budget projects a steady diet of wider deficits over the next five years, adding new spending only...
Research Briefing
Reflecting a surprisingly strong Spring Negotiation result and weaker yen assumption, we have upgraded our baseline wage and inflation forecasts....
Research Briefing
Our business cycle indicator implies that the economy is losing momentum, but there are some caveats. Some of the data...
In our view, the Canadian economy has slipped into a moderate recession that will create slack, ease price pressures, and...
We believe the Canadian economy has slipped into a moderate recession that will create slack, ease price pressures and help...
Research Briefing
The UK inflation outlook has been transformed by steep falls in oil and gas prices and the recent softening in...
Research Briefing
We assume the disruption to shipping caused by maritime attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea will be relatively...
Research Briefing
Despite today's (28th July) surprise tweak to YCC policy, we continue to believe that Governor Ueda is determined to avoid...
Research Briefing
We now expect Bank Indonesia to start cutting the policy rate in Q4 2023, earlier than our previous expectation of Q1...
Research Briefing
Canada has likely just entered a moderate recession that will last for much of 2023.
Research Briefing
Over 2023, we expect global food, energy, and goods inflation to fall sharply. That said, the degree to which services...
Research Briefing
While our outlook for emerging markets (EMs) is more upbeat than for advanced economies (AEs), we have cut our 2023...
Research Briefing
Another wave of yen weakening has not deterred the Bank of Japan (BoJ) from leaving monetary policy unchanged at today's...
Research Briefing
Upward revisions to recent quarters have pushed up our Sweden growth forecast for 2022 to 3%. That said, we expect...
Research Briefing
The UK government's energy price guarantee will mean a much lower peak for inflation, reducing the damage to household incomes....
