Research Briefing
The spotlight focused on this week’s consumer price report to see if it raises more questions about the Fed’s decision...
Consumer price
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Research Briefing
Each month, we forecast the dozens of price categories that underlie the consumer price index, and our forecast is for...
Research Briefing
The biggest surprise from the outcome of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting had nothing to do with interest rate...
Research Briefing
Our business cycle indicator implies that the economy is losing momentum, but there are some caveats. Some of the data...
Research Briefing
Disruption to shipping through the Red Sea now looks likely to keep transport costs elevated at least for the next...
Research Briefing
Inflation is poised to weigh on the psychology of the swing voter, who will be pivotal in determining the outcome...
