As term premia reprice higher, a modest increase in duration is warranted, however, we think the opportunities lie at the...
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 94 results
Research Briefing
We see the recent increase in term premia as explainable by the ongoing retreat of price insensitive foreign buyers, structurally...
We've recently revised up our forecasts for US and UK bond yields in the long term by 50 basis points;...
Research Briefing
We have revised our forecasts up for bond yields in the long term by 50bps in the US and UK and by 20 to 25 bps in Japan and Germany....
In our latest Roundtable, “Finding opportunities in a global downturn”, Javier Corominas, Director of Global Macro Strategy, examines why we...
Research Briefing
Despite the importance of returns on private wealth for long-term investors – be they households, asset managers, or pension funds...
A peak in policy rates is often a positive catalyst for equities, but there are three key reasons why we...
Video
Fiscal rules should aim to ensure fiscal sustainability and inter-generational fairness while helping to promote longer term societal goals such...
The world economy performed better in the final months of 2022 and early 2023 than might have been expected, given...
Our analysis shows that inflation, in most countries, will be lower than consensus expects. With EM disinflation clearly on track,...
Central banks may be nearing the end of the rate hiking cycle, but does that mean it is a good...
Advanced economy central banks have received a lot of criticism for their policy decisions over the past two or three...
One of China's longer term economic challenges has been its ability to transition successfully away from an investment-led growth model...
As Emerging Market (EM) resilience has impressed, and stagflation fears have eased, we have seen some reassuring signs on the...
Our latest research has focused on what the most extreme and persistent inflation overshoot of the inflation targeting era means...
Video
The Bank of England is arguably the central bank that faces the biggest policy headache right now. In this week's...
This week we turn our attention to Brazil. Latin America's strongest economy just reported stronger than expected growth in Q1,...
Video
The US debt ceiling continues to make headlines, and the drop dead date is fast approaching. Hear the latest from...
Research Briefing
Our cross asset framework is based on five proprietary indicators (economic cycle, credit impulse, financial stress, relative valuation, and sentiment)...
Research Briefing
In a tough global environment, we are below consensus on advanced economy growth and anticipate most will fall into recession...
