Recent Release | 13 Mar 2023
Illicit Tobacco Consumption in Türkiye
Macro Consulting Team
Oxford Economics
This report establishes independent and robust estimates of the scale and incidence of illicit tobacco consumption in Türkiye, covering both cigarettes and cut tobacco.
This report examines the size of the illicit tobacco market in Türkiye as well as and the impact it has on government tax revenue.
Commissioned by Philip Morris International, this report particularly highlights the rising prevalence of cut tobacco, whose consumption almost doubled between 2019 and 2021.
Total tax loss due to illicit consumption of tobacco products reached TL 18,327mn in 2021, doubling from TL 9,744mn in 2019. Illicit cut tobacco accounted for 86.4-95.9% of annual tax loss during this period.
About the team
Our macro consulting team are world leaders in quantitative economic analysis, working with clients around the globe and across sectors to build models, forecast markets and evaluate interventions using state-of-the art techniques. Lead consultants on this project were:
David Moore
Lead Economist – Macro Consulting
Thang Nguyen
Lead Economist – Macro Consulting
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