Ungated Post | 11 Dec 2018

The impact of a ‘no-deal’ Brexit on travel and tourism

A “no-deal” Brexit would cause a 5% drop in UK outbound travel and tourism trips in 2020, because of the stifled economic backdrop and impact of a weaker pound. Ireland and Spain would be the hardest hit from fewer UK visitors. In contrast, the weaker pound could mean that UK tourism inflows are 4% higher in a “no-deal” scenario, provided there is no travel disruption. But lower levels of domestic tourism mean that we would expect UK travel and tourism GDP to be 2% lower than our baseline forecast in 2020.

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Our consulting team at Tourism Economics are the world’s leading analysts of the global tourism and travel sector. They combine their expert insight with our state-of-the-art economic models and tools to answer the crucial questions facing our clients. Lead consultants on the project were:

Oxford Economics’ team are experts at applying advanced economic tools that provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. To find out more about our capabilities, contact:

To find out more about our capabilities, contact:

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David Goodger
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