Research Briefing | Dec 9, 2021

Asia exports look to improve in 2022

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The level of Asian exports in volume terms has been stagnant in H2 2021. In addition, across the major manufacturing exporting economies, there have been significant disparities in export performance. Our analysis finds these differences stem from compositional differences in export products and supply-side constraints.

What you will learn:

  • In China and Japan, real exports have fallen, whereas Korea and Taiwan have seen a pickup in shipments.
  • Across emerging Asia, Indonesian exports have outperformed, helped by strengthening demand for commodities. Other countries such as Vietnam have struggled, with Delta outbreaks severely impairing trade flows in Q3.
  • We see scope for a pickup in export momentum across the region from Q2 2022 onwards, as supply-chain pressures ease and the global recovery drives demand.
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