Heightened tensions – Quantifying the impact of higher tariffs, crisis in the Middle East, and other global scenarios

Jamie is Head of Macro Scenarios. He leads the production of macro-economic scenarios for the Global Scenario Service and is responsible for identifying and writing about key risks to the global economy.

Jamie joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England, where he worked for 17 years on a range of monetary and financial stability issues to support both the Monetary Policy Committee and the Financial Policy Committee. Most recently, Editor of the Bank’s Financial Stability Report and Financial Stability Papers series, Jamie has written and edited extensively for the Bank’s flagship publications, including the Inflation Report.

Adam Onoszko is an Assistant Economist in the Macro Scenarios and Modelling team based in the London office. He has contributed to modelling the Global Scenarios Service, Megatrends scenarios, and bespoke client scenarios while also forecasting the economy of Curaçao. Before joining Oxford Economics, Adam completed his undergraduate degree in Economics from the University of Warwick.

Ronan Hegarty is an Assistant Economist within the Macro Scenarios and Modelling team based in London. His work predominantly focuses on modelling the macroeconomic implications of climate change. He holds a first-class bachelor’s degree in economics from Trinity College Dublin as well as a master’s degree from the Barcelona School of Economics, where he was awarded the highest grade for his dissertation. He has previous internship experience working at the ESRI, Ireland’s leading public policy research institute, as well as at Dublin-based Indecon International Consultants.