Could shifting US economic fissures turn into fault lines
Date: 2 July
The economy is being tested by higher tariffs, enormous policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and high interest rates. There are some fissures in the labour market, but layoffs remain low and nominal wage growth continues to outpace inflation. Consumers spending remains bifurcated as is the landscape for businesses. In this webinar we will discuss our latest economic outlook and how tariffs, immigration, fiscal policy and geopolitical events are expected impact growth, inflation, unemployment, interest rates and how these factors could steer the economy off course.
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Michael Pearce
Chief US Economist
Michael Pearce
Chief US Economist
New York, United States
Michael Pearce is Chief US Economist at Oxford Economics, based in New York. He leads US macroeconomic research and forecasting, and his team is ranked among Bloomberg’s top forecasters for major US economic indicators. Before joining Oxford Economics, Michael was a senior economist on the US team at Capital Economics and worked at HM Treasury in the UK. He holds degrees in Economic History from the London School of Economics and in Economics from University College London, and has lived and worked in the UK and Switzerland.
Ryan Sweet
Managing Director – Macro Forecasting and Analysis
Ryan Sweet
Managing Director – Macro Forecasting and Analysis
New York, United States
Ryan Sweet is the Global Chief Economist|Managing Director at Oxford Economics where he helps shape and coordinate the team’s global economic analysis and forecasting. Previously, Ryan was the Chief US Economist and led a team that was among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of the economy.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Ryan spent 17 years at Moody’s Analytics as a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team and was also a co-host of the Inside Economics podcast. Ryan has also been an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania.
Ryan received a master’s degree in finance from John’s Hopkins University, a master’s degree in economics from the University of Delaware, and a bachelor’s degree in economics from Washington College.
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