Could shifting US economic fissures turn into fault lines
Date: 2 July
The economy is being tested by higher tariffs, enormous policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and high interest rates. There are some fissures in the labour market, but layoffs remain low and nominal wage growth continues to outpace inflation. Consumers spending remains bifurcated as is the landscape for businesses. In this webinar we will discuss our latest economic outlook and how tariffs, immigration, fiscal policy and geopolitical events are expected impact growth, inflation, unemployment, interest rates and how these factors could steer the economy off course.
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Michael Pearce
Deputy Chief US Economist
Michael Pearce
Deputy Chief US Economist
New York, United States
Michael Pearce is the Deputy Chief US Economist based in New York City, sharing responsibility for forecasting the US economy and monetary policy. He has a particular focus on the US consumer and inflation. Before joining Oxford Economics, Michael worked for the Treasury in the UK, and was a senior member of the US economics team at Capital Economics for more than a decade, and he lived and worked in the UK, US, and Switzerland during that time. He has a masters degree in economic history from the London School of Economics, and a bachelors degree in economics from University College London.
Ryan Sweet
Chief US Economist
Ryan Sweet
Chief US Economist
New York, United States
Ryan Sweet is the Chief US Economist at Oxford Economics. He is responsible for forecasting and assessing the US macroeconomic outlook and how it will influence monetary policy and financial markets. Ryan is among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of the U.S. economy, according to MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Ryan led real-time economics at Moody’s Analytics and was a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He was also head of the firm’s monetary policy research, following actions by the Federal Reserve and examining its potential impact on the U.S. economy.
Ryan is an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received a master’s degree in finance from John’s Hopkins University, a master’s degree in economics from the University of Delaware, and a bachelor’s degree in economics from Washington College.
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