Research Briefing
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to put pressure on energy prices, which remain at extremely high levels. Barring a...
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
Research Briefing
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to put pressure on energy prices, which remain at extremely high levels. Barring a...
Research Briefing
The risk of a shift to a higher inflation regime in advanced economies has risen in the last six months,...
With eurozone inflation confirmed at a record-high of 5.0% y/y in December, the debate over how long upward price pressures...
The release of the ECB December meeting minutes confirmed that inflation remained at the forefront of the Governing Council’s discussions...
Research Briefing
After emerging as an outperformer in early 2021, the Central and Eastern European region is set to face an eventful...
Research Briefing
We expect the solid recovery of the labour market and the lagged impact from the 2021 inflation surge to trigger...
Research Briefing
Based on the positive carryover effects from two strong months of GDP growth in August and September, we have raised...
Research Briefing
Industrial production will lag services growth globally going into 2022 as supply-chain pressures continue to bite and the post-pandemic recovery...
Research Briefing
Despite the uncertainty caused by the surge in Omicron cases, the BoE raised interest rates to 0.25% this week. This...
Research Briefing
The spread of Omicron across Europe will probably see a surge in infections over the coming weeks that could surpass...
Research Briefing
The ECB took significant steps to tighten its highly accommodative policy stance over the course of 2022 on the back...
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 and previous quarters was revised up, pushing up our 2021 forecast to 4.7% from 4.3%. But we...
Research Briefing
Even though Omicron is casting a huge shadow over the UK economy, the BoE today raised Bank Rate to 0.25%...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures have strengthened and broadened in Central and Eastern Europe recently, prompting a hawkish turn by the region’s central...
Latin America’s economy enters the new year on a weakened footing. Our 2022 themes revolve around the inherent struggle between...
Research Briefing
It appears to be a forgone conclusion that the ECB council will agree to end its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme...
Research Briefing
Canada’s full economic recovery from the pandemic has been delayed, notderailed. The economy continues to benefit from reopening amid highvaccination...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker fell sharply in late November as news of the Omicron variant hit financial markets, exacerbating the...
Research Briefing
The Nordic countries will exit 2021 in much better shape than when they entered it. Considerable progress on vaccine rollouts...