Research Briefing
The BoJ's quarterly Outlook Report revised up the median CPI forecast to 2.3% from 1.9% for FY2022, but estimates for FY2023 at 1.4% and FY2024 at 1.3% remain short of the BoJ's 2% target.
Inflation
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 506 results
Research Briefing
Despite a better start to 2022 than previously estimated, we have kept our forecast for this year unchanged due to...
Research Briefing
We have kept our growth forecast for Sweden in 2022 largely unchanged but lowered it for next year to 1.6%...
Research Briefing
2022 is proving to be a very disappointing year for global GDP growth, with risks that the outlook could worsen....
Research Briefing
Increased borrowing costs are raising corporate default fears in the US, but we believe higher interest rates alone won't be...
Research Briefing
Supply chain dynamics improved for the third straight month in June, according to our tracker. Pressures eased most on the...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone services prices to continue to rise sharply over the summer as the sector's recovery progresses. The ECB...
Research Briefing
Surging inflation across Europe has led us to lower the outlook for real growth in consumer spending this year, although...
Research Briefing
Asian cities are facing several challenges to economic growth, including the slowdown of the Chinese economy, supply chain problems, and...
Research Briefing
Memories of the inflationary tsunami that hit the UK in the 1970s have been rekindled by inflation surging to a...
Research Briefing
After negotiating the Omicron wave in Q1, Canadian households in all provinces are now facing high inflation and—as we expected—the...
Research Briefing
We have raised our inflation forecast for the GCC to average 3.2% this year, up from our projection of 2.8%...
Research Briefing
The ground has shifted and cheap budget funding in frontier markets is a thing of the past. In the current...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.8% from 1.5% last month, due to a stronger-than-expected...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan stuck to its monetary policy at today’s (17 June) meeting, maintaining current short-term policy rates at -0.1% and long-term rates...
Research Briefing
Denmark's inflation outlook is deteriorating rapidly. With the EU announcing plans to wind down imports of Russian oil, higher-for-longer oil...
Research Briefing
We have lowered Sweden's growth outlook for this year to 2.1% from 2.6% last month, a move largely driven by...
Research Briefing
The message sent by May's UK PMIs of an economy suffering a loss of momentum but still under strong inflationary...
Research Briefing
The global economic environment has shifted with international price inflation surging, monetary conditions being aggressively tightened, and a number of...
Research Briefing
As expected, the ECB council agreed to end the era of nonstandard monetary policy measures by September as it gears...
