Research Briefing
Our analysis suggests that while a Harris presidency, assuming Democratic control of Congress, would have a minor positive impact on...
Research Briefing
Our analysis suggests that while a Harris presidency, assuming Democratic control of Congress, would have a minor positive impact on...
While our short-term outlook for the global economy has largely remained steady over the past quarter, the balance of risks...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for some form of divided government that will not alter the current trajectory of industrial growth. If either side achieves a...
While a Kamala Harris presidency wouldn't materially alter the economic outlook for Canada. Another term for Donald Trump would usher...
Research Briefing
A Kamala Harris presidency wouldn't materially alter the economic outlook for Canada. Another term for Donald Trump would usher in...
Research Briefing
We created a real-time tracker of unauthorized migrants to the US, the driving force behind the nation's post-pandemic immigration surge....
Research Briefing
The economy remains in transition and is settling into a more sustainable pace of growth, with next year being decent...
Research Briefing
A Democratic sweep of the 2024 presidential and congressional elections would mean major changes to social benefits programs and tax...
Research Briefing
We subjectively assign a greater probability of a divided government after the 2024 elections rather than one that is fully...
The 2024 US Presidential Election is less than seven months away. In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, Bernard Yaros, Lead...
Research Briefing
History suggests that presidential elections are not a significant driver of asset returns. That is, asset returns around elections are,...
Research Briefing
Presidential elections not only have major implications for the future path of fiscal policy and the macroeconomic outlook, but they...
Research Briefing
Inflation is poised to weigh on the psychology of the swing voter, who will be pivotal in determining the outcome...