Research Briefing
We think the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be contained and is not a sign of systemic risks...
Research Briefing
We think the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be contained and is not a sign of systemic risks...
Research Briefing
Last week's liquidation of Silvergate Capital and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) have raised questions about the risks...
Research Briefing
In sizing the macro impact of recent US semiconductor export controls on China, we estimate a near-term drag of around...
Research Briefing
Metros labeled as "college towns" have consistently seen steadier yet often lower job growth than the US average over the...
Research Briefing
We've created a real-time indicator – the US Business Cycle Indicator (BCI) – to assess the health of economic activity....
Research Briefing
The incoming data likely warrant some adjustments to the baseline forecast, particularly for the path of the target range for...
Research Briefing
Housing affordability deteriorated in 2022 by the most since the housing crisis and rebalancing is needed to foment healthier market...
Consulting Report
In 2020, the US rail supply industry’s total economic impact was $75.8 billion of GDP, 682,426 jobs, $49.0 billion of...
Research Briefing
Although it still faces promising growth from the continued investment in new semiconductor facilities, Phoenix growth slowed somewhat in 2022.
Research Briefing
The IMF's calendar-year forecast for global GDP growth in 2023 to slow only marginally amounts to an assessment that the...
Research Briefing
In this new quarterly Research Briefing series, we answer the top five questions we've recently received from clients.
Consulting Report
Oxford Economics specializes in characterizing the impacts of data centers.
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession beginning in the second quarter of 2023. Despite recent moderation,...
Research Briefing
Supply-chain stress continues to recede, boding well for inflation and lending some upside risk to our near-term growth outlook.
Research Briefing
Though our baseline forecast this year is a shallow global recession in the first half of the year the uncertainty...
Research Briefing
Major shocks over the past two years have prompted US manufacturing firms to rethink their supply chains, with greater inventory...
Research Briefing
House prices have fallen rapidly in several economies over recent months and more pain looks likely in 2023.
Research Briefing
The latest Beige Book revealed an economy that on balance was treading water heading into 2023.
Research Briefing
Carbon price policies vary in design and scope. To make prices comparable, we calculate an emissions-weighted average price or "effective...
Research Briefing
Since the pandemic, our view of the medium-term outlook has shifted to become more pessimistic on inflation and equity market...