Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
We expect the UK economy to be in recession for most of 2023, with activity dragged down by falling real...
Research Briefing
While most measures suggest a tight UK labour market, the pass-through to wage growth has been weak. We expect labour...
Research Briefing
The BoE raised Bank Rate by 75bps to 3% at its November meeting, in line with our expectations and market...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
With Liz Truss's agenda of tax cuts and supply-side reforms dead before it had even begun, her resignation as UK...
Research Briefing
We estimate the recent surge in swap rates – a key driver of mortgage rates – means that UK house...
BoE governor Andrew Bailey's insistence that emergency support will end on Friday is an unsustainable position that we expect to...