In our latest monthly forecast, we raised our aggregate 2023 GDP growth forecast for emerging markets (EMs) by 0.1ppt to 4.1%. We raised our 2023 GDP growth forecast for China...
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Research Briefing
Global GDP growth and inflation will slow in 2024 and central banks will begin to pivot in H2 – at...
Research Briefing
We project the distribution of long-term economic pain inflicted by Covid will be similar to humans in the sense that those with pre-existing conditions will end up suffering the most.
Research Briefing
Based on the middle-income trap literature, we developed a long-term growth indicator that used 33 metrics to assess risks to...
Research Briefing
Our latest scenario analysis suggests that the global economy would falter in the event of an escalation of the Israel-Hamas...
Research Briefing
We have revised our forecasts up for bond yields in the long term by 50bps in the US and UK and by 20 to 25 bps in Japan and Germany....
Research Briefing
Some observers are predicting a very big uplift to global productivity and economic growth from developments in artificial intelligence. But...
Research Briefing
We expect Latin America's six largest countries' combined GDP to expand 0.8% next year, down from our 1.8% forecast for...
