Research Briefing
We now expect Denmark to enter a shallow recession in Q3 this year, ending in Q1 2023, due to rising...
Research Briefing
We now expect Denmark to enter a shallow recession in Q3 this year, ending in Q1 2023, due to rising...
Research Briefing
Sky-high gas prices and aggressive monetary policy tightening have pushed the global economy to the brink of a late 2022/early...
Research Briefing
The UK government's energy price guarantee will mean a much lower peak for inflation, reducing the damage to household incomes....
Research Briefing
Although the risk of hard energy rationing has diminished, demand destruction triggered by the surge in energy prices has led...
Research Briefing
Metros that are home to a large share of headquarters saw higher growth in headquarter-specific jobs than in other sectors....
Research Briefing
We will increase gas prices and inflation and cut GDP growth in the September forecast round, with the eurozone economy...
Research Briefing
A combination of recession on the horizon, high inflation forecasted for the short term and rapid central bank tightening is...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has continued to deteriorate. Since our previous global scenarios were released three months ago, we have...
Research Briefing
The Norway mainland GDP forecast has been raised 0.5ppts to 3% following a slight growth surprise in Q2 and a...
Our modelling suggests incorporating owner-occupied housing costs would lower eurozone headline inflation from Q3 2022 by 0.3ppts, with negative contributions...
Research Briefing
Among large US metros, several southern ones are likely to out-perform over the 2022-26 period, including Dallas and Atlanta as...
Research Briefing
If successful, the Turkey-brokered deal between Russia and Ukraine to unblock Ukraine's ports and facilitate grain exports would be highly...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Sweden by 0.4ppts to 2.4%, as growth in Q2 surprised on...
Research Briefing
After the West and its allies imposed sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine, President Putin announced a radical rehaul of...
Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
In early August, Russia's Gazprom refused to accept a Siemens' turbine used in Nord Stream 1, citing technical issues. Gazprom...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
We have cut our China growth forecast to 3.2% in 2022, from 4% previously, reflecting dismal Q2 growth and the...
Research Briefing
With most of the continent finally treating Covid as endemic, we expect APAC's private consumption growth to remain resilient in...