GDP Deficit

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Research Briefing

Temperature volatility comes at a price to worldwide growth

Pioneering research has used panel econometric techniques to estimate the economic impact of average temperatures. Building on that approach, we...

Research Briefing

Default likely in El Salvador, but only after the 2024 election

We expect El Salvador to avoid default in 2023, but unsustainable public debt and dangerously low reserves will trigger restructuring...