Research Briefing
Extensive academic research shows the importance of central bank independence in reducing inflation. Those institutions with strong operational independence from...
Fed Funds Rate
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Research Briefing
Odds are that there will not be anything from the upcoming meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee that would...
Research Briefing
We forecast no rate cuts by the Fed up to and including the July meeting, while the market prices 72bps....
Research Briefing
We still think that the US economy is headed for a slowdown at the turn of the year. Three factors...
Research Briefing
New research by Oxford Economics suggests that construction materials prices have shifted permanently higher due to the shocks of the...
Research Briefing
We receive many questions on the state of the US economy from clients. Here, we answer the top five most...
Research Briefing
Cost and availability of financing are critical to the health of construction markets. With interest rates at historically low levels...
Research Briefing
The US economy will need a lot of luck to avoid a recession next year because the headwinds are about to intensify. We...
Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve knows that their mission to tame inflation isn’t complete, and odds are rising that the central bank...
Research Briefing
Tightening US financial conditions over the past year will likely trim 0.2ppts from Q4 2022 GDP growth.
Research Briefing
The outlook for Latin America changed dramatically after Russia's invasion of Ukraine last February.
Research Briefing
We expect Asian currencies to stabilise, if not strengthen, versus the US dollar in 2023, as the Fed pauses hiking...
Research Briefing
Bank Indonesia raised its policy rate by 50 bps at its last meeting on November 17, making for a total...
Research Briefing
Policy divergence will continue to be a key theme in global FI markets in 2023. Whereas we pencil in a...
Research Briefing
To no one's surprise, the FOMC raised interest rates by 75bps for a fourth consecutive meeting, lifting the target range...
