Research Briefing
The German finance ministry's draft budget for 2025 and updated medium-term fiscal plan show the government is embarking on a...
Research Briefing
The German finance ministry's draft budget for 2025 and updated medium-term fiscal plan show the government is embarking on a...
Research Briefing
We think the damage from US tariffs on Eurozone consumer spending will be relatively mild. This is crucial for the...
Research Briefing
Given the unique nature of the hike in US tariffs, the size of these supply and demand shocks and the...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent appreciation, our The flurry of tariff announcements by the US government over recent weeks have impacted on...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent appreciation, our forecast still sees a weaker euro versus the US dollar compared to our pre-US election...
Research Briefing
The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast. Our new baseline...
Research Briefing
The Trump administration's imposition of a blanket 20% tariff on EU imports, in addition to the wide-ranging tariff increases imposed...
Research Briefing
Our initial estimates of the direct impact from the US decision to raise tariffs on imports from the EU and...
Research Briefing
The aggregate economic impact of the recently finalised EU-Mercosur trade pact will be modest if it gets final approval.
Research Briefing
We believe the Czech Republic will move to the upper one-third of the fastest-growing EU economies in 2025-2026 after lagging...
Research Briefing
We expect the euro to stabilise against the dollar and trade around its current levels over the next year. Economic...
Consulting Report
This report examines the economic impact of SHEIN on the EU economy, focusing on its operations in three key markets:...
Research Briefing
We received many questions, including during our recent webinar, about the changes to the forecast following the election along with...
Research Briefing
We think generative artificial intelligence could add as many as 1.2 million jobs to the eurozone labour market by 2040....
Research Briefing
Related topics Excellence in commodity forecast accuracy: A World Bank Group assessment A recent assessment by the World Bank Group...
Research Briefing
A substantial backlog of work is supporting building construction activity in the face of falling permits. Building companies in the EU report a 11.5-month backlog of...
Research Briefing
We think the EU-China economic relationship will experience more friction in the future due to structural changes to China's economy,...
Households have been grappling with sharply higher food bills over the past couple of years because of rocketing agricultural commodity...
Research Briefing
China has been accused of dumping stock onto the European market within the automotive, metals and chemicals sectors with the...
Oxford Economics were commissioned by TikTok undertake economic modelling of the impact of SMEs using TikTok as an innovative platform...