Research Briefing
Our sticker-shock model of the 2024 presidential election accurately predicted the winner of nearly all 50 states and the District...
Democrats
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Research Briefing
Following the outcome of the US elections, we have adopted our 'limited Trump' scenario as our new baseline forecast. Our...
Research Briefing
Inflation is the foremost issue voters are concerned about, and how it is perceived will determine the election.
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for some form of divided government that will not alter the current trajectory of industrial growth. If either side achieves a...
Research Briefing
Though Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of winning the election have improved since her debate with former President Donald Trump,...
Research Briefing
Vice President Kamala Harris has released the first part of her economic plan. In it, she proposes an expansion of...
Research Briefing
President Joe Biden's decision to drop out of the election doesn’t warrant any immediate changes to our election scenarios nor...
The outcome of the presidential and congressional elections this November will be pivotal for the outlook in 2025 and beyond....
Research Briefing
A Democratic sweep of the 2024 presidential and congressional elections would mean major changes to social benefits programs and tax...
Research Briefing
We subjectively assign a greater probability of a divided government after the 2024 elections rather than one that is fully...
